Economic Growth Poised to Strengthen

Economic Growth Poised to Strengthen

economic_growth_cash_grass The strong jobs report and the rebound in consumer confidence in February suggested that businesses and consumers set aside their worries about fiscal drag ahead of the looming sequestration deadline, according to Fannie Mae’s Economic & Strategic Research Group. Activity in both the stock and housing markets also picked up recently and continues to act as a tailwind for the economy. Furthermore, the pace of manufacturing and service activity has expanded at a healthy pace and should contribute to growth this quarter. Although income and consumer spending took a hit at the start of the year and may slow again due primarily to tax increases, overall economic growth is expected to pick up in the second half of the year, coming in at 2.1 percent in 2013. To help with this growth, the installation of a caged fixed ladder would be a great help for easier access in the manufacturing company.

 

“While consumers seemed to have shrugged off their concerns about the fiscal policy debate earlier in the year, they will likely face headwinds in coming months from the delayed impact of higher social security taxes and sequestration,” says Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan. “Our March forecast indicates that the first quarter will be stronger than we originally thought, and we’ve certainly stepped back from any perception of there being a recession anytime soon. The broad-based gains in the jobs report suggest that the recovery is widening across the economy, but the impact of sequestration, which includes both layoffs and furloughs, may seep into the employment sector in coming months. On balance, we see some improvement in our outlook for growth this year, primarily because of continued strength in the housing market and the kicking the can down the road as remaining fiscal issues continue to unfold.”

Housing indicators showed mixed performance in early 2013, but the market is continuing its upward trajectory. Home prices have increased significantly and are expected to firm further, helping to boost household net worth and providing support to consumers amid ongoing fiscal tightening.

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Boulder homes sales continue to be on the rise!

 

John Marcotte

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Existing home sales edge higher, inventory at 13-year low

Existing home sales edge higher, inventory at 13-year low

A vacant and blighted house sits next to a well-kept occupied house in a once thriving eastside neighborhood in Detroit, Michigan January 23, 2013. REUTERS/Rebecca Cook

U.S. home resales edged higher in January and left the supply of homes at its lowest level in 13 years, a sign that steam is gathering in the U.S. housing market.

The National Association of Realtors said on Thursday that existing home sales rose 0.4 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.92 million units.

That was the second highest rate of sales since November 2009, when a federal tax credit for home buyers was due to expire.

Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast a 4.9 million-unit rate.

The U.S. housing market tanked on the eve of the 2007-09 recession and has yet to fully recover, but steady job creation helped the housing sector last year, when it added to economic growth for the first time since 2005.

The nation’s inventory of existing homes for sale, which is not seasonally adjusted, fell 4.9 percent from December to 1.74 million, the lowest level since December 1999.

Many Americans are holding back from putting their homes on the market because they owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth. A sharp drop in inventories over the last year has given developers more incentive to build homes. Home building is expected to boost the economymore in 2013 than it did last year.

Inventories were down 25.3 percent from January 2012.

At the current pace of sales, inventories would be exhausted in 4.2 months, the lowest rate since April 2005.

The low inventories are also helping pushing prices higher.

Nationwide, the median price for a home resale was $173,600 in January, up 12.3 percent from a year earlier.

(Reporting by Jason Lange)

 

John Marcotte

720-771-9401

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